Is there a future in an aircraft mechanic career?

As the global aircraft fleet expands, it is vital to understand the career prospects for aircraft mechanics. Have you ever wondered if a career in aircraft mechanics has a future? If so, this article is just for you! In this blog post, we will delve into the job outlook for aircraft mechanics, explore current demand, discuss challenges, and examine the evolving landscape of the aviation maintenance industry

Current job outlook for aircraft mechanics: US vs. Europe

According to the statistical data, the job outlook for aircraft mechanics appears to be quite promising. Let’s dive into the numbers! 

According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the primary fact-finding agency for the US government in labor economics and statistics, approximately 141,400 aircraft mechanics have been employed across the United States as of 2023. BLS estimates that the employment rate in the field should grow by around 5% in a decade between 2023 and 2033. This means US maintenance and repair organizations (MROs) will have about 13,400 job openings each year over the next ten years.

What is happening in Europe? In Europe, the demand is just as strong, with an estimated 150,000 skilled aircraft mechanics currently working across various countries. The growth is fueled by the expanding aviation sector. There is a continuous need for regular line and heavy maintenance as the number of aircraft continues to increase.

The certification and licensing processes for aircraft mechanics differ between the US and Europe. In the US, these processes are governed by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). Meanwhile, in Europe, the regulations are set by the European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA). As a result, some minor discrepancies may arise in the overall statistics regarding the employment rates of aircraft mechanics. These variations are influenced by the different certification standards. They impact how mechanics are counted and categorized across the regions.

Future demand for aircraft mechanics

If you ask anyone currently working in an MRO about the demand for aircraft mechanics, they will confidently respond with a resounding “yes.” The aviation industry is expanding, and with the growth of the global aircraft fleet comes a natural need for skilled aviation mechanics and technicians to ensure aircraft safety and operations.

Let’s take a closer look at what the two major aircraft manufacturers, Boeing and Airbus, are projecting for the future of this field.

Boeing, one of the largest global aerospace manufacturers, has estimated the demand for 2.4 million new aviation professionals over the next two decades. The projections indicate that the growing global commercial aviation fleet will require approximately 674,000 new pilots and at least 980,000 new cabin crew members over the next 20 years. But what about aircraft technicians? Boeing predicts a steady demand for maintenance technicians in the coming years, estimating a need for around 716,000 new aircraft mechanics over the next two decades.

Airbus, Boeing’s competitor and Europe’s leading aerospace manufacturer, has projected smaller but not less promising figures for the future demand for aviation professionals. According to Airbus, Europe will require approximately 635,000 new maintenance technicians by 2037 to support the growing fleet and address the challenges posed by an aging workforce. 

Other predictions indicate that the number of retiring aircraft mechanics and technicians is rising faster than the number of new entrants into the field. Recent data from the American management consulting firm Oliver Wyman revealed that currently around 35% of aviation mechanics in North America are over the age of 50, signaling an impending wave of retirements that could worsen the existing shortage of skilled technicians.

The report predicts that modest global economic growth, affected by high interest rates and lower anticipated aircraft production, will lead to a 1.8% annual increase in demand for MRO (Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul) services through 2034. This growth is expected to generate revenues of $124 billion. 

In 2024 alone, MRO revenue is projected to rise nearly 3%, increasing from $101 billion to $104 billion. So, what does this mean for aircraft mechanics? This expansion signals that the global MRO sector will need tens of thousands of new aircraft mechanics and technicians with varying levels of experience in the near future.

What factors are driving the demand for aircraft mechanics?

Increasing passenger demand

The demand for aircraft mechanics is rising due to several crucial factors. One major driver is the remarkable surge in air travel. Even after the global pandemic, people’s desire to fly continues to grow, pushing the aviation industry to its limits.

For example, the International Air Transport Association (IATA) recently released its June 2024 data report. This report revealed some astonishing numbers. Passenger demand worldwide jumped by 9.1% in June. Yes, you read that right – people are eager to board planes and explore the globe. Total capacity, measured in available seat kilometers (ASK), also increased by 8.5% year-on-year. This shows that airlines are ramping up operations to meet soaring demand.

The IATA report also highlights a robust comeback in international travel, with demand rising by an impressive 12.3% compared to the same time last year. Domestic travel is not lagging, enjoying a healthy increase of 4.3%. All this growth highlights the vital role of aircraft mechanics. As airlines expand their fleets and ensure that aircraft remain operational, they increasingly rely on skilled professionals to guarantee safety and efficiency.

Aging workforce of aircraft mechanics

At the same time, the aircraft maintenance sector is facing a pressing challenge: an aging workforce. A considerable number of experienced mechanics are nearing retirement, leading to an urgent need for fresh talent to step in and fill those gaps. This transition goes beyond just numbers. It involves passing invaluable skills and knowledge to a younger generation that is prepared to take charge.

Reports suggest that as many as 80% of current mechanics could retire in the next five years, leading to a significant gap that the industry must address.

Impact of technological advancements

Technological advancements in aircraft manufacturing are also reshaping the maintenance field. As aircraft become more sophisticated, aircraft mechanics must stay ahead of the curve by mastering the latest technologies.

Key innovations include the development of aircraft that consume less carbon dioxide, advancements in engine technology, and the use of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). For example, one major focus has been on creating aircraft that produce fewer emissions. New aircraft models like the Airbus A320neo and Boeing 787 Dreamliner use advanced materials and designs to be more fuel-efficient, which helps lower their emissions. According to Airbus, their new aircraft models are designed to use at least 15% less fuel than previous generations. This should significantly lower their carbon footprint.

Aircraft engine technology has also seen significant improvements. Engineers design modern engines like the Pratt & Whitney Geared Turbofan for higher efficiency and lower noise levels. The shift towards greener air travel includes exploring alternative fuels, such as sustainable aviation fuel. These fuels come from renewable sources and can cut lifecycle carbon emissions by up to 80% compared to regular jet fuels. As these technologies improve, aircraft mechanics also need to update their skills to keep up.

Key challenges in the aircraft MRO industry

While the outlook for the demand for aircraft mechanics and technicians is indeed positive, the maintenance industry continues to face ongoing challenges that may influence its growth trajectory. Here are three key hurdles affecting the aircraft maintenance sector:

1. Supply chain disruptions and shortage of parts

Global supply chain issues have led to significant delays in the availability of aircraft parts, making it increasingly challenging for mechanics to carry out timely repairs and maintenance. Adding to this complexity is a global shortage of aircraft parts, which can be partly attributed to the low retirement rates of aircraft in the post-pandemic era.

For instance, in 2021, airlines retired only 463 aircraft, and this number rose slightly to 503 in 2022. A similar trend continued in 2023. Meanwhile, airlines dismantled aircraft at a declining rate as new purchases dropped significantly since the pandemic began. This decline led Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) to cut back on production due to reduced demand. As a result, some OEMs have limited the availability of spare parts outside their service contracts, further constraining the aftermarket supply.

These interconnected issues mean that MRO organizations face substantial challenges that directly impact their operational efficiency. According to IATA, these global supply chain problems are expected to persist until 2026, adding urgency to the need for solutions in the aviation maintenance sector.

2. Regulatory changes

Regulatory changes related to safety and environmental standards also present challenges for the aviation maintenance sector. With increasing scrutiny on aircraft emissions and sustainability practices, mechanics must stay familiar with compliance requirements. Recent regulations from the FAA and the EASA have heightened the need for continuous education and training to keep up with the latest safety protocols and environmental standards. 

As the aviation industry pushes toward greener practices, mechanics will need to understand new technologies and maintenance techniques associated with sustainable aviation fuels and emissions reduction strategies.

3. Challenges in the licensing and license conversion process

The aircraft maintenance sector faces a significant challenge in attracting younger talent to replenish its workforce. This issue stems from the rigorous training and education required to become a certified professional, which can be both lengthy and costly. As a result, many potential candidates may be deterred from pursuing careers in aircraft maintenance, despite the long-term benefits.

The licensing and license conversion process adds another layer of complexity. In the US, mechanics must meet FAA standards, while those in Europe adhere to EASA regulations. For example, an FAA-licensed mechanic aiming to work in Europe must navigate a complicated process that includes validating their credentials and possibly taking additional exams, often due to differences in training programs.

These hurdles can discourage talented individuals from entering the field, exacerbating labor shortages and putting further strain on the already pressured aviation maintenance sector.

If you are interested in discovering how to kickstart a career as an aircraft mechanic or want to know more about the license conversion process, check out the article linked here.

The future for aircraft mechanics is positively soaring! With the aviation industry expanding at an unprecedented rate and an aging workforce paving the way for new talent, there has never been a better time to jump into this field. Yes, there are challenges, but these hurdles only heighten the demand for skilled aviation mechanics and technicians who can rise. So, if you are passionate about aviation and ready to embrace the maintenance field, start your career as an aircraft mechanic today!